Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes | 836.3 | $0.090 | $71.09 | -$4.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 91.32 | $0.210 | $19.18 | 23d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 292.46 |
| $0.118 |
| $26.32 |
| -$8.2 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 91.32 | $0.210 | $19.18 | $0 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $1.26 | -$0.74 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.6 | $0.206 | $0.95 | -$2.06 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.73 | -$1.27 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.140 | $0.54 | -$1.47 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 10.99 | $0.091 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
 Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.065 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| sell |
| 19.4 |
| $0.049 |
| $0.95 |
| 28d ago |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.4 | $0.049 | $0.95 | 28d ago |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.98 | $0.090 | $8.46 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 622.34 | $0.090 | $56.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.568 | $5.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No | sell | 9.76 | $0.610 | $5.95 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?Yes | buy | 21.18 | $0.047 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.860 | $2.45 | May 9, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.175 | $6.03 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.091 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 73.04 | $0.299 | $21.85 | May 7, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.14 | $0.071 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?Yes | buy | 17.53 | $0.053 | $0.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 136.18 | $0.206 | $28.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.361 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hillary" or "Clinton" this week? (March 22)No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 22)No | buy | 38.45 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)No | buy | 8.85 | $0.113 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 235.24 | $0.430 | $101.15 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?Yes | sell | 33.89 | $0.779 | $26.4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.340 | $23.8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Mar 10, 2026 |