Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 8 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 5.5% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 26 Sep 2026. $94.77K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 11:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 5.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| supersmard | Yes | 8K |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 4.75K |
| Fearless-Misnomer | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-new-mexico-to-new-america-byptptpt
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 1.33K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 810.28 |
| 0opj4kuu4xb2 | Yes | 732.03 |
| Mr.Frog🐸 | Yes | 700 |
| ZimmaBlue | Yes | 500 |
| burakrum | Yes | 484.99 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 301.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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