Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 170.08 | $0.706 | $164.04 | +$44.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.85 | $0.700 | $16 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 162.26 |
| $0.719 |
| $161.69 |
| +$44.95 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 168.27 | $0.709 | $146.39 | +$27.16 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September? | No | 145.49 | $0.825 | $130.21 | +$10.22 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 151.51 | $0.660 | $121.97 | +$21.97 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 167.33 | $0.645 | $119.64 | +$11.65 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 134.83 | $0.890 | $119.32 | -$0.67 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 173.91 | $0.682 | $117.39 | -$1.16 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September? | No | 148.37 | $0.809 | $114.99 | -$5.01 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | No | 123.78 | $0.860 | $111.4 | +$5 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 288.22 | $0.484 | $103.76 | -$35.66 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 109.71 | $0.671 | $101.48 | +$27.89 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 208 | $0.537 | $94.64 | -$17.08 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | No | 94.8 | $0.835 | $81.05 | +$1.86 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 149.98 | $0.670 | $78.74 | -$21.75 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 165.4 | $0.720 | $76.91 | -$42.23 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 76.88 | $0.800 | $76.3 | +$14.8 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 292.5 | $0.280 | $68.74 | -$13.16 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | No | 75.45 | $0.810 | $64.89 | +$3.77 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 67.56 | $0.750 | $63.84 | +$13.17 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in September? | No | 67.18 | $0.816 | $62.48 | +$7.66 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 90.15 | $0.836 | $61.39 | -$13.96 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 389.37 | $0.147 | $60.35 | +$3.12 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 63.98 | $0.870 | $56.62 | +$0.96 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 150.02 | $0.360 | $53.26 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 18.39 |
| $0.870 |
| $16 |
| 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 34.91 | $0.850 | $29.67 | 5h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.050 | $13.25 | 15h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 44.42 | $0.470 | $20.88 | 16h ago |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.870 | $7.92 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 19.29 | $0.840 | $16.2 | 22h ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 22.37 | $0.720 | $16.11 | 22h ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 46.37 | $0.446 | $20.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?No | buy | 7.33 | $0.820 | $6.01 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 16.77 | $0.640 | $10.73 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 60.72 | $0.640 | $38.86 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.640 | $6.64 | 1d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 182.29 | $0.482 | $87.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?No | buy | 37.03 | $0.810 | $29.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 162.26 | $0.719 | $116.74 | 1d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.497 | $14.9 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 18.24 | $0.490 | $8.94 | 1d ago |
 Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?Yes | buy | 0.69 | $0.740 | $0.51 | 1d ago |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.275 | $11 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 272 | $0.150 | $40.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | 1d ago |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.79 | $0.820 | $24.43 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 21.33 | $0.750 | $16 | 1d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 45.97 | $0.870 | $39.99 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.37 | $0.140 | $16.43 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.400 | $4.6 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 219.99 | $0.100 | $22 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 18.74 | $0.589 | $11.03 | 2d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFORZE Reload | buy | 23.8 | $0.410 | $9.76 | 2d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 108.19 | $0.972 | $105.18 | 2d ago |
 Will CF América win on 2026-09-06?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.540 | $4.91 | 2d ago |
 Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersAthletics | buy | 117.64 | $0.350 | $41.17 | 3d ago |
| Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersAthletics | buy | 35.67 | $0.360 | $12.84 | 3d ago |
| Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersAthletics | buy | 28.61 | $0.360 | $10.3 | 3d ago |
 Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-06?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 PlayoffsGalorys | buy | 14.25 | $0.810 | $11.54 | 3d ago |
| Map Handicap: WaR (-1.5) vs Wanted Goons (+1.5)Without a Roof | buy | 8.73 | $0.850 | $7.42 | 3d ago |
 San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over | buy | 87.77 | $0.460 | $40.37 | 3d ago |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins | buy | 142.04 | $0.450 | $63.92 | 3d ago |
| San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | 3d ago |
 Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsLOUD | buy | 32.25 | $0.320 | $10.32 | 3d ago |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansDetroit Tigers | buy | 160.25 | $0.390 | $62.5 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group StageSPARTA | buy | 42.22 | $0.440 | $18.58 | 3d ago |
 Seville: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Pedro Vives MarcosImanol Lopez Morillo | buy | 17.24 | $0.300 | $5.17 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 119.49 | $0.800 | $95.59 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 59.91 | $0.460 | $27.56 | 3d ago |