Analytics
erFiodena has made $1.05K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vance peak at Category 2? | Yes | 176 | $0.266 | $149.6 | +$102.82 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 22:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 09:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 09:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 22:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.08K and losing ones cost $191.91 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $191.11 on “Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 10, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100 on “Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 10, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 619 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.28K across 123 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 61.72 |
| $0.810 |
| $60.52 |
| +$10.52 |
 Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026? | No | 112.68 | $0.399 | $58.03 | +$13.03 |
 Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 111.55 | $0.269 | $50.2 | +$20.19 |
| Will Vance peak at Category 5? | No | 44.94 | $0.890 | $44.67 | +$4.67 |
 Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial? | No | 50.29 | $0.597 | $40.73 | +$10.7 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? | Yes | 138.41 | $0.144 | $39.38 | +$19.37 |
 Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027? | No | 59.7 | $0.670 | $39.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 48.38 | $0.310 | $36.28 | +$21.29 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | No | 37.97 | $0.790 | $36.11 | +$6.11 |
 Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict? | No | 47.4 | $0.380 | $36.02 | +$18.01 |
 ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31? | No | 42.53 | $0.705 | $35.73 | +$5.73 |
 Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between October 26-November 1? | No | 42.25 | $0.710 | $35.49 | +$5.49 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria? | No | 39.47 | $0.760 | $35.33 | +$5.33 |
 Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.97 | $0.790 | $35.12 | +$5.13 |
 Will the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028? | No | 91.48 | $0.546 | $34.31 | -$15.7 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | No | 35.27 | $0.851 | $34.25 | +$4.25 |
 Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? | No | 33.95 | $0.883 | $33.47 | +$3.48 |
 Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27? | No | 43.47 | $0.690 | $32.6 | +$2.61 |
| Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 32.96 | $0.910 | $32.55 | +$2.55 |
 Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? | No | 49.75 | $0.603 | $32.34 | +$2.34 |
 Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.29 | $0.850 | $32.29 | +$2.29 |
 Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.47 | $0.760 | $31.97 | +$1.97 |
 EU debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30.7 | +$0.71 |
 Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? | Sothebys | 34.46 | $0.449 | $30.5 | +$15.01 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
