Analytics
The Christie's side is at 15%, down 35 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Christie's side was at 17%; a month before, 41%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 68.5% on 29 Sep 2026.
$544.42 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $135.28, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 28 trades, $27.71 bought Christie's and $167.52 bought Sotheby's.
The largest Christie'S position is Haradwaith with 60 shares; the largest Sotheby'S position is clazzy1 with 170.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 11:38 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Christie's price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Christie's price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| clazzy1 | Sotheby'S | 170.1 |
| PadreMaronno | Sotheby'S | 61.5 |
| Haradwaith | Christie'S | 60.2 |
This market will resolve to "Christie's" if Christie's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year are greater than Sotheby's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year. This market will resolve to "Sotheby's" if Sotheby's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year are greater than Christie's. For the purposes of this market, a house's "announced total sales" is the headline global full-year figure that the house itself publishes for the 2026 calendar year, including projections, in its own year-end results announcement or press release, expressed in US dollars. Each figure will be used exactly as the house publishes it, with no adjustment for differences in what the two houses include in their totals. In 2025, this included Christie's total global sales as reported by Christie's (see: https://press.christies.com/62b-projected-global-sales-in-2025/), and Sotheby's consolidated sales as reported by Sotheby's (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/articles/sothebys-projects-2025-consolidated-sales-of-7-billion/). Both figures will be compared in US dollars. If a house publishes its full-year total in a currency other than US dollars, that house's own published US dollar figure for the same period will be used if one is published. If no such figure is published, the total will be converted to US dollars at the exchange rate in effect at the time of that house's announcement. A figure announced before the end of 2026 will qualify, provided the house presents it as its total for the full 2026 calendar year. Revisions will only be considered until both auction houses have published their totals. If the two announced figures are exactly equal, or if both houses have not published a full-year 2026 total by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If only one house has published such a total by that date, this market will resolve to that house. This market will resolve according to official announcements published by Christie's (christies.com) and Sotheby's (sothebys.com), with a consensus of credible reporting also being used if necessary.
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Christie'S | 40 |
| erFiodena | Sotheby'S | 34.46 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Christie'S | 29.35 |
| Tense-Flame-Logo | Christie'S | 25.99 |
| FCBM | Christie'S | 25.75 |
| drgi | Christie'S | 20.48 |
| 2B9S | Christie'S | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/christies-vs-sothebys-higher-2026-sales-total
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