Analytics
Yes is at 24%, down 13 points from 37% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
Across the 45 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 24% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%; a month before, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 26.5% on 24 Sep 2026.
$95 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.34, with a 42.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Spectrum with 95 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 48.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 37.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spectrum | Yes | 95 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 47.6 |
| erFiodena | No | 47.4 |
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/missouri-passes-ballot-measure-to-redistrict
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
