Analytics
Yes is at 1.4%, down 4.1 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 6 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6.3% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.8%.
It is one of 2 markets under “Plague declared public health emergency by...?”.
$12.98K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $7.35K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 93 trades, $369.2 bought Yes and $3.48K bought No.
The largest Yes position is BluesRz246312 with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is AlexiosV with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 86.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AlexiosV | No | 2.76K |
| BluesRz246312 | Yes | 1.67K |
| MtnMark | Yes | 1.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-pneumonic-plague-declared-public-health-emergency-byptptpt
| Vaidim |
| No |
| 1.2K |
| Alegrandebig | No | 1.09K |
| Real-Advertisement | No | 999.99 |
| kayps | Yes | 667.17 |
| oleg55 | Yes | 600.03 |
| Coral Harbor 7BD4 | Yes | 449.36 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 384.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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