Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 17.28K | $0.789 | $16.15K | +$2.51K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.974 | $974 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.2K |
| $0.744 |
| $6.16K |
| +$797.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 3.31K | $0.774 | $3.02K | +$465.44 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 2.69K | $0.970 | $2.65K | +$39.45 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 2.08K | $0.972 | $2.03K | +$9.46 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 1.6K | $0.952 | $1.58K | +$56.3 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.860 | $935 | +$75 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 700 | $0.900 | $654.5 | +$24.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 397.2 | $0.920 | $386.48 | +$20.88 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 325.71 | $0.890 | $304.54 | +$14.76 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 250 | $0.947 | $242.38 | +$5.63 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.930 | $195.4 | +$9.4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.930 | $183 | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.870 | $183 | +$9 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 199.99 | $0.680 | $110.99 | -$25 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 104.28 | $0.959 | $102.76 | +$2.76 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | No | 100 | $0.973 | $97.9 | +$0.6 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $94.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.973 |
| $97.3 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 1d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.985 | $295.5 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 200.1 | $0.971 | $194.3 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 50.68 | $0.975 | $49.41 | 6d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | 6d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 200.1 | $0.971 | $194.3 | 6d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 6d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 76.15 | $0.971 | $73.94 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.680 | $135.99 | 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.970 | $1.94K | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 519.98 | $0.969 | $503.86 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 8d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.974 | $19.48 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.974 | $107.14 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.974 | $584.4 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 115.5 | $0.973 | $112.38 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 22.33 | $0.968 | $21.62 | 28d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.957 | $1.05K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 797 | $0.920 | $733.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.971 | $194.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.970 | $242.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.929 | $185.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.929 | $185.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.929 | $929 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 636.19 | $0.720 | $458.06 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.984 | $984 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.720 | $2.16K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 3.53K | $0.928 | $3.28K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 89.6 | $0.913 | $81.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.935 | $187 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 161.9 | $0.934 | $151.21 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 499.1 | $0.934 | $465.96 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200.1 | $0.933 | $186.69 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.770 | $385 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.780 | $1.95K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200.1 | $0.931 | $186.29 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.070 | $70 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 4.5K | $0.154 | $691.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.26 | $0.991 | $13.14 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.964 | $96.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |