Analytics
Yes is at 53%, up 9 points from 44% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 30% on 14 Oct 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Next President of Germany?”.
$143.85 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.39K since listing. The order book holds $2.18K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 104 trades, $1.06K bought Yes and $892.83 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Valiv with 440 shares; the largest No position is wallet-account-test with 474. Ten wallets hold 88.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Jan 2027, 94 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 44.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 53.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wallet-account-test | No | 474 |
| Valiv | Yes | 440.37 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 328.69 |
Germany is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on January 30, 2027. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Germany by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Germany. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-president-of-germany
| pljeskavicalover |
| Yes |
| 314.53 |
| sweetj | No | 220 |
| Xyzeric | No | 200 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 197.37 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 183.84 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 86.65 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 59.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
