Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.07K | $0.839 | $960.2 | +$59.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macron out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 203.81 | $0.952 | $193.99 | 5h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 436.17 |
| $0.872 |
| $381.65 |
| +$1.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 296.04 | $0.890 | $262 | -$1.48 |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | No | 385.89 | $0.767 | $237.32 | -$58.69 |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? | No | 203.82 | $0.952 | $194.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 475.91 | $0.306 | $169.66 | +$23.82 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.152 | $152.5 | +$76.56 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 498.8 | $0.260 | $119.96 | -$9.63 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 130 | $0.846 | $112.51 | +$2.51 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 222.22 | $0.320 | $70 | -$1.11 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 641.79 | $0.195 | $45.89 | -$79.2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 475.45 | $0.115 | $41.36 | -$13.49 |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | Yes | 60.34 | $0.580 | $32.89 | -$2.11 |
 Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | Yes | 165.09 | $0.097 | $18.16 | +$2.16 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 475.88 | $0.022 | $16.42 | +$6 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 467.25 | $0.024 | $10.98 | -$0.41 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 1.12K | $0.016 | $10.67 | -$7.37 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 397.27 | $0.050 | $10.13 | -$9.87 |
 Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 98.3 | $0.100 | $9.68 | -$0.13 |
| Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 86.67 | $0.136 | $9.23 | -$2.57 |
| Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 95.96 | $0.167 | $9.12 | -$6.88 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 455.83 | $0.024 | $8.89 | -$2.11 |
| Will Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 60.11 | $0.150 | $8.09 | -$0.91 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 405.68 | $0.037 | $7.91 | -$7.1 |
| Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 48.14 | $0.140 | $6.74 | $0 |
| buy |
| 60.34 |
| $0.580 |
| $35 |
| 5h ago |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes | buy | 67.69 | $0.118 | $8 | 5h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 33.82 | $0.887 | $30 | 8h ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 321.47 | $0.840 | $270.03 | 13h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 296.03 | $0.890 | $263.47 | 1d ago |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes | buy | 97.4 | $0.082 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 23.98 | $0.834 | $20 | 1d ago |
 Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 71.9 | $0.250 | $17.96 | 2d ago |
 Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 18.7 | $0.992 | $18.54 | 2d ago |
 Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 70.8 | $0.150 | $10.62 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 11.13 | $0.990 | $11.02 | 2d ago |
 Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 135.03 | $0.870 | $117.43 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 119.27 | $0.990 | $118.08 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 71.08 | $0.001 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
| Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 18.88 | $0.900 | $16.99 | 2d ago |
| Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 111.37 | $0.898 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 175.93 | $0.909 | $160 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 34.83 | $0.861 | $30 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 72.19 | $0.831 | $60 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 33.53 | $0.209 | $7 | 2d ago |
| Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 425.96 | $0.948 | $403.89 | 2d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 44.49 | $0.899 | $40 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.820 | $60 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 79.55 | $0.880 | $70 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 34.12 | $0.879 | $30 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 17.94 | $0.335 | $6 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 57.57 | $0.365 | $21 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 65.64 | $0.381 | $25 | 2d ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 337.59 | $0.984 | $332.19 | 2d ago |
| Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 250.42 | $0.938 | $234.9 | 13d ago |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 112.53 | $0.985 | $110.84 | 13d ago |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 126.95 | $0.986 | $125.12 | 13d ago |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 577.07 | $0.972 | $560.92 | 15d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 384.74 | $0.880 | $338.57 | 15d ago |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.240 | $13.33 | 15d ago |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 212.58 | $0.747 | $158.83 | 16d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 78.9 | $0.438 | $34.53 | 17d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 67.85 | $0.310 | $21.03 | 17d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.410 | $2.32 | 25d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 73.25 | $0.396 | $29 | 25d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 67.86 | $0.280 | $19 | 25d ago |
| Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?Yes | sell | 59.47 | $0.870 | $51.74 | 25d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 200.99 | $0.820 | $164.81 | 25d ago |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 132.59 | $0.828 | $109.73 | 25d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 71.3 | $0.090 | $6.42 | 25d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 107.83 | $0.014 | $1.51 | 25d ago |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 88.99 | $0.024 | $2.14 | 25d ago |