Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.059 | $7.88 | +$6.88 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.213 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Yes |
| 6.71 |
| $0.298 |
| $4.73 |
| +$2.73 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.13 | $0.639 | $2.92 | +$0.92 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $2.15 | +$1.15 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.68 | $0.745 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.434 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2.29 | $0.436 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.218 | $1.33 | -$0.67 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.04 | $0.198 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.07 | $0.326 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.156 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.280 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
| Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will "Yes" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by 3–6%?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.156 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | buy | 15.8 | $0.063 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.173 | $1 | 12d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 12d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 19d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 19d ago |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.436 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.145 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.198 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.434 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.67 | $0.214 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.326 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.035 | $0.12 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.419 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.409 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |