Analytics
PavelIslimnitsky has made $140.64 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | Yes | 4.13 | $0.242 | $4.11 | +$3.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 13:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 14:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 14:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 13:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $247.9 and losing ones cost $3.93 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $109.46 on “Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.04 on “Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 220 markets. Its open positions are worth $52.88 across 67 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $3.06 |
| +$2.06 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.13 | $0.639 | $2.92 | +$0.92 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.68 | $0.745 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.93 | +$0.93 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.218 | $1.7 | -$0.3 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.434 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.07 | $0.326 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 9.9 | $0.202 | $1.14 | -$0.86 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2.29 | $0.436 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.156 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
