Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58%. Yes opened at 21% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 11 Oct 2026, the highest close was 58% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18% on 10 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 58% on 11 Oct 2026. $23.15K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 5:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 21.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxVision | No | 2K |
| TheOne777 | No | 374.99 |
| melonmanm | No | 367.46 |
| Quantum777 | No | 212 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Announcements, NOTAMs, airline cancellations, or reports that the airport is closed, suspended, or restricted will not qualify on their own if FlightAware displays departures. A qualifying period may begin as late as the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, and end after it. If a period without departures has begun but has not reached 24 consecutive hours by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until either a flight departs RUH or 24 consecutive hours have elapsed. A qualifying closure counts regardless of its cause. The resolution source for this market will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/riyadh-airport-closed-to-departures-for-24-hours-byptptpt
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 65 |
| lissartter | No | 64.86 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 29.96 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 20 |
| pr0xyg0d | No | 20 |
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