Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 813.31 | $0.877 | $630.31 | -$83.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Yes | sell | 629.91 | $0.995 | $627 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 519.83 |
| $0.701 |
| $459.27 |
| +$94.87 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 493.83 | $0.810 | $412.35 | +$12.35 |
 Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | Yes | 400 | $0.848 | $341 | +$1.67 |
 Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $1 million? | Yes | 345 | $0.870 | $337.41 | +$37.26 |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026? | No | 342.79 | $0.903 | $325.99 | +$16.26 |
 Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? | Yes | 346.02 | $0.694 | $306.23 | +$66.23 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 490.02 | $0.762 | $271.23 | -$102.28 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 269.18 | $0.869 | $202.29 | -$31.53 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | No | 288.63 | $0.899 | $178.95 | -$80.6 |
 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes? | No | 109.99 | $0.890 | $105.92 | +$8.03 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? | Yes | 70 | $0.866 | $66.5 | +$5.9 |
 Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes? | No | 60 | $0.880 | $59.37 | +$6.57 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by September 25, 2026? | No | 50.76 | $0.906 | $50.48 | +$4.48 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | Yes | 60.2 | $0.332 | $39.73 | +$19.73 |
 Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? | No | 47.24 | $0.804 | $30.47 | -$7.53 |
 Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100.18 | $0.822 | $29.05 | -$53.25 |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.01 | $0.434 | $15.93 | -$12.3 |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? | Yes | 39 | $0.319 | $11.51 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 289.71 |
| $0.903 |
| $261.48 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.848 | $339.33 | 4d ago |
 Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 130 | $0.860 | $111.8 | 5d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 25.99 | $0.850 | $22.09 | 5d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 22 | $0.850 | $18.7 | 5d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 80 | $0.830 | $66.4 | 5d ago |
| Over $15M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 77.66 | $0.940 | $73 | 6d ago |
 Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | sell | 26.24 | $0.358 | $9.39 | 6d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.041 | $2.05 | 6d ago |
 Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes | sell | 25.1 | $0.999 | $25.07 | 6d ago |
| Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.219 | $28.5 | 6d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 7d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | 7d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | sell | 56.37 | $0.070 | $3.95 | 7d ago |
| Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 26.24 | $0.787 | $20.65 | 7d ago |
| Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.769 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 66.7 | $0.320 | $21.34 | 8d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.310 | $1.86 | 8d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.270 | $6.75 | 8d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 8d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.400 | $24 | 8d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.600 | $99 | 8d ago |
| Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $1 million?Yes | buy | 345 | $0.870 | $300.15 | 8d ago |
| Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | buy | 50.45 | $0.580 | $29.26 | 9d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | sell | 5.37 | $0.994 | $5.34 | 9d ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.706 | $42.36 | 10d ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.632 | $12.64 | 10d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.868 | $26.04 | 10d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.74 | $0.823 | $41.77 | 10d ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.36 | $0.830 | $17.73 | 10d ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.73 | $0.810 | $56.48 | 12d ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.994 | $79.54 | 12d ago |
 Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 61.28 | $0.999 | $61.22 | 12d ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 298.83 | $0.611 | $182.58 | 12d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 329.67 | $0.910 | $300 | 12d ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.890 | $8.09 | 12d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.6 | $0.880 | $100 | 12d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.908 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will there be at least 20,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.809 | $76 | 13d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | buy | 19.85 | $0.630 | $12.51 | 13d ago |
 Over $3M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No | sell | 106 | $0.999 | $105.89 | 13d ago |
| Will there be at least 20,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.28 | $0.886 | $88.85 | 13d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 50.76 | $0.906 | $46 | 13d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.63 | $0.881 | $64 | 13d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.870 | $200.1 | 13d ago |
| Over $3M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No | buy | 43 | $0.920 | $39.56 | 14d ago |
| Over $2M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No | buy | 54.28 | $0.930 | $50.48 | 14d ago |
| Over $1.5M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?No | buy | 62.96 | $0.850 | $53.52 | 14d ago |