Analytics
Yes is at 1.3%, down 25 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 4 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.2% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.7%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 3.8% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?”.
$2.73K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $273.76, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $45.78 bought Yes and $1.09K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 264 shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 857. Ten wallets hold 92.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 11:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 857.16 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 263.78 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 212.51 |
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. Google's similar product, Gemini Spark, announced on May 19, 2026, is available only on paid Google AI plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google makes Gemini Spark available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify. Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gemini-spark-on-the-free-plan-by
| Quantum777 | No | 94.13 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 78.9 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 71.28 |
| LonelyScissors | Yes | 69.3 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 48.59 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 41.28 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 34.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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