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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $500B and $750B at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 194.05 | $0.010 | $72.77 | +$70.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 20.58 | $0.240 | $4.94 | 16m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 166.66 |
| $0.024 |
| $36.08 |
| +$32.08 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 70.58 | $0.170 | $26.11 | +$14.12 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 136.51 | $0.010 | $23.89 | +$22.52 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $18.1 | +$14.1 |
 Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-25? | Yes | 32 | $0.250 | $16.16 | +$8.16 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 116.66 | $0.030 | $14.58 | +$11.08 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.43 | $0.230 | $14.3 | +$7.3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 23.21 | $0.560 | $14.27 | +$1.28 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 15.5 | $0.774 | $13.76 | +$1.76 |
 Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | No | 53.84 | $0.130 | $13.73 | +$6.73 |
 Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 68.96 | $0.116 | $13.59 | +$5.59 |
 Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-09-16? | No | 19.33 | $0.245 | $12.37 | +$7.63 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 57.14 | $0.135 | $11.71 | +$3.99 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? | No | 18.97 | $0.527 | $11.56 | +$1.57 |
 Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 53.51 | $0.130 | $11.5 | +$4.55 |
 ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 13.57 | $0.801 | $10.37 | -$0.5 |
 Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.025 | $10.2 | +$5.24 |
 Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.64 | $0.510 | $9.7 | +$0.71 |
 Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? | No | 14.51 | $0.390 | $9.43 | +$3.77 |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | No | 18.17 | $0.550 | $9.36 | -$0.64 |
 Another Iranian diplomat expelled by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 58.33 | $0.120 | $9.33 | +$2.33 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 19.91 | $0.402 | $9.33 | +$1.32 |
 Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | No | 11.41 | $0.701 | $9.29 | +$1.29 |
 Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 11.36 | $0.704 | $9.24 | +$1.24 |
| sell |
| 10.5 |
| $0.260 |
| $2.73 |
| 16m ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 11.47 | $0.630 | $7.23 | 1h ago |
 Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?No | sell | 10.29 | $0.730 | $7.51 | 1h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | sell | 8.64 | $0.720 | $6.22 | 2h ago |
 Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.600 | $0.67 | 2h ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 3h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.75 | $0.070 | $3.06 | 3h ago |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 16.73 | $0.420 | $7.03 | 3h ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.380 | $0.93 | 5h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | sell | 9.85 | $0.760 | $7.49 | 6h ago |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.66 | $0.740 | $7.89 | 7h ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18.42 | $0.350 | $6.45 | 7h ago |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 6.3 | $0.640 | $4.03 | 7h ago |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.160 | $0.48 | 8h ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 7.93 | $0.370 | $2.93 | 9h ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Yes | sell | 19.03 | $0.390 | $7.42 | 9h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | 9h ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.18 | $0.460 | $4.68 | 10h ago |
| Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.03 | $0.100 | $0.8 | 10h ago |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.19 | $0.450 | $6.39 | 11h ago |
 Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 17.77 | $0.500 | $8.89 | 12h ago |
 Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.250 | $2.69 | 14h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | sell | 10.66 | $0.680 | $7.25 | 14h ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.460 | $0.12 | 14h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.270 | $0.77 | 14h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | sell | 34.78 | $0.230 | $8 | 14h ago |
| Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 16h ago |
| Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 16h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 12.16 | $0.040 | $0.49 | 17h ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | 17h ago |
 Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall in Hawaii?No | sell | 9.86 | $0.960 | $9.47 | 17h ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 12.9 | $0.560 | $7.22 | 17h ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.560 | $0.16 | 18h ago |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?No | sell | 14.45 | $0.260 | $3.76 | 18h ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 23.53 | $0.350 | $8.24 | 18h ago |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.310 | $7.75 | 18h ago |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.730 | $13.27 | 18h ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 12.47 | $0.060 | $0.75 | 20h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.170 | $5.67 | 20h ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.130 | $0.27 | 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.250 | $0.47 | 20h ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.200 | $0.36 | 20h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.320 | $1.45 | 20h ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | sell | 47.05 | $0.120 | $5.65 | 20h ago |
 Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.02 | $0.320 | $2.25 | 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 12.21 | $0.070 | $0.85 | 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 4.83 | $0.080 | $0.39 | 21h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.130 | $0.78 | 22h ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 22h ago |