Analytics
Yes is at 12%, down 10 points from 22% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 120 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8% on 30 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19.5%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 38.5% on 8 Oct 2026.
$1.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $637.91, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 41 trades, $143.1 bought Yes and $627.44 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Geeman with 359 shares; the largest No position is Quantum777 with 312. Ten wallets hold 91% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 22.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Geeman | Yes | 358.73 |
| Quantum777 | No | 311.54 |
| melonmanm | No | 175 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-msci-downgrade-indonesia-to-frontier-market-status-by-november-30-20260625205132272
| bubububblebutt |
| Yes |
| 109.36 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 82.1 |
| Repentant-Stomach | No | 79.87 |
| kikisbuiten | No | 53.62 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| Cultured-Donation | No | 33.67 |
| masterdom272 | Yes | 28.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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