Analytics
Yes is at 34%, down 4 points from 38% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
The high was 54.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the low 29% on 3 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 54.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 36.5% on 15 Oct 2026.
$4.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $268.52, with a 28.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 57 trades, $1.62K bought Yes and $808.7 bought No.
The largest Yes position is MerhabaKardesim with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is GOLADS96 with 400. Ten wallets hold 86.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 7:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 38.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MerhabaKardesim | Yes | 1.2K |
| GOLADS96 | No | 400 |
| Ratspootin | Yes | 377.21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-october-31
| Mr-Krabs |
| No |
| 357.95 |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | No | 329.97 |
| wisechinaman | No | 314.99 |
| Impressionable-Hovercraft | No | 200 |
| AJSV | Yes | 183.15 |
| nelder | Yes | 100 |
| Unlucky-Anywhere-Destruction | No | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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