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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 20K | $0.662 | $14.1K | +$858.18 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 253.57 | $0.860 | $218.07 | 9h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 14.72K |
| $0.751 |
| $10.96K |
| -$95.61 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.870 | $8.45K | -$250 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.718 | $7.75K | +$570.01 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.12K | $0.953 | $5.79K | -$39.54 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5.67K | $0.787 | $4.81K | +$350.13 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.6K | $0.781 | $4.79K | +$415.4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.09K | $0.869 | $4.65K | +$232.29 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.2K | $0.778 | $3.56K | -$485.39 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.642 | $3.18K | +$609.06 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 13.2K | $0.810 | $2.57K | -$8.12K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.93K | $0.697 | $2.53K | +$491.61 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1.16K | $0.853 | $1.09K | +$96.35 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 4.42K | $0.250 | $1.04K | -$66.24 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | No | 272 | $0.895 | $263.43 | +$20.03 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 331.98 | $0.410 | $252.31 | +$116.19 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 353.02 | $0.246 | $116.5 | +$29.65 |
| buy |
| 6K |
| $0.770 |
| $4.62K |
| 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 993.7 | $0.870 | $864.52 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 78.87 | $0.830 | $65.46 | 3d ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.855 | $891.11 | 3d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.700 | $10.5 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.800 | $1.42K | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 972.52 | $0.860 | $836.37 | 11d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.920 | $1.18K | 13d ago |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.850 | $1.09K | 13d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.896 | $806.8 | 13d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 2.85K | $0.940 | $2.68K | 13d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.900 | $948.04 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 452.96 | $0.680 | $308.01 | 14d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 335.05 | $0.660 | $221.13 | 15d ago |
 Will Iran target Syria by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 319.32 | $0.990 | $316.09 | 15d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.970 | $1.35K | 15d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 2.52K | $0.850 | $2.14K | 16d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.925 | $965.66 | 16d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.924 | $1.3K | 16d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.24K | $0.730 | $2.36K | 16d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 578.15 | $0.740 | $427.83 | 16d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.620 | $912.83 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.96K | $0.650 | $1.28K | 16d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 4.49K | $0.750 | $3.37K | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.2K | $0.740 | $1.63K | 17d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.91K | $0.250 | $1.23K | 17d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $249.8 | 17d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.236 | $553.15 | 17d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.98K | $0.928 | $3.69K | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.957 | $1.44K | 17d ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 509.7 | $0.996 | $507.66 | 18d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.935 | $953.7 | 18d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 728.84 | $0.920 | $670.4 | 18d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.905 | $2.26K | 18d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.9K | $0.999 | $4.9K | 18d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 100.54 | $0.780 | $78.42 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.017 | $85.05 | 20d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.640 | $904.3 | 20d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 97.85 | $0.610 | $59.69 | 20d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 4.32K | $0.930 | $4.02K | 20d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.950 | $1.63K | 20d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.950 | $4.75K | 22d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 22d ago |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.986 | $138.04 | 22d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 607.98 | $0.940 | $571.5 | 22d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 758.55 | $0.770 | $584.08 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.999 | $2.38K | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.999 | $2.38K | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.859 | $1.42K | 23d ago |