Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 15 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 5.2% on 28 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5.2% on 28 Aug 2026. $994.45 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 16, 4:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 15 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 46.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Romeo005 | Yes | 200 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 162.5 |
| Geromi | Yes | 112.12 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards are scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any presenter or winner drops an Emmy statuette on stage during the live broadcast of the ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "drop" means the statuette unintentionally leaves the holder's hands entirely and makes contact with the floor or stage surface. Bobbling, slipping fingers, or briefly losing grip without the statuette falling out of the hand and hitting the ground will not qualify. Drops occurring backstage, at the Governors Ball, or at any other afterparty or secondary event which is not part of the televised ceremony will not be considered. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the ceremony.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-drop-an-emmy-on-stage
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| PavelIslimnitsky | Yes | 16.95 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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