Latest trade
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:20 AM UTC.
Analytics
SoWhy is down $149.42 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:20 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Oct 4, 2025 UTC to Dec 12, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-03 12:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 11:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 11:20 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-03 12:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $232.95 and losing ones cost $61.67 across the latest 50 settled positions. 46% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $78.05 on “Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10 on “Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Dec 2025. It has traded 367 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.14 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 51.59 |
| $0.019 |
| $1 |
| Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 99.93 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.068 | $1.2 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?No Change | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.152 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.13 | $0.200 | $0.43 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 13.18 | $0.110 | $1.45 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 53.69 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 163.04 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rental Family win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.