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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 51.59 |
| $0.019 |
| $1 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 99.93 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.068 | $1.2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?No Change | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.152 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 13.18 | $0.110 | $1.45 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 53.69 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 163.04 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Rental Family win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |