Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 23 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 137 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2025 to 6 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 60.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.7 points up, to 92.2% on 2 Dec 2025. $65.43M traded over the market's life.
1,000 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 137 points, 23 Jul 2025 – 6 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | 72.5% |
| 6 Dec 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dunkingdumbass | No | 4.65M |
| TheCanary | No | 1.14M |
| Yma92 | No | 1.06M |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a real-money trade is publicly placed on a regulated, Polymarket-operated Designated Contract Market (DCM) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-polymarket-us-go-live-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 458.45K |
| Hmmmster | No | 385.65K |
| vkajsnm2p34 | No | 311.38K |
| sal16 | No | 300K |
| vovovovo | No | 262.19K |
| Carrylicious | No | 223K |
| Newwall | No | 197.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
