Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 50.48K |
| $0.002 |
| $100.95 |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 57.13 | $0.160 | $9.14 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 364.28 | $0.080 | $29.14 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Kristi Noem out by March 31?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.002 | $2.65 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.063 | $102.65 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.062 | $100.99 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 6.38K | $0.002 | $12.75 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 344.26 | $0.025 | $8.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 221.95 | $0.001 | $0.22 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 8.3K | $0.001 | $8.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 8.3K | $0.021 | $172.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 221.96 | $0.455 | $100.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.070 | $109.88 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 8.99K | $0.028 | $253 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.3K | $0.110 | $253 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.060 | $69.16 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?Yes | buy | 91.18 | $0.329 | $30 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.110 | $99 | Feb 12, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.045 | $99.94 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?No | buy | 425.04 | $0.079 | $33.47 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 43.47 | $0.770 | $33.47 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 70.5 | $0.240 | $16.92 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 241.82 | $0.550 | $133 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 22.41 | $0.580 | $13 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 15.85 | $0.820 | $13 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 186.13 | $0.080 | $14.89 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | sell | 8.06 | $0.770 | $6.21 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.09 | $0.600 | $4.86 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.56K | $0.140 | $499 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.93K | $0.010 | $19.3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 29.41 | $0.453 | $13.33 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 9.32 | $0.670 | $6.24 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 29 | $0.571 | $16.55 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 25.38 | $0.680 | $17.26 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 9.18 | $0.560 | $5.14 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 25.05 | $0.350 | $8.77 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 15.85 | $0.820 | $13 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | sell | 39.94 | $0.960 | $38.34 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | sell | 19.57 | $0.970 | $18.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 39.83 | $0.878 | $34.95 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 19.41 | $0.760 | $14.75 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 716.42 | $0.070 | $50.15 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 716.43 | $0.070 | $50.15 | Jan 30, 2026 |