Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 9% on 21 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 219 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 49.3% on 4 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 21 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 38.1% on 20 Aug 2025. $2.61M traded over the market's life.
165 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 219 points, 21 Mar 2025 – 25 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2025 | 9.0% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 539.56K |
| xhinra37 | Yes | 280K |
| ciro2 | Yes | 135.6K |
The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025. This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election. If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ireland-presidential-election
| gopfan2 | Yes | 100K |
| surf | Yes | 80.94K |
| comon119 | Yes | 29.99K |
| madechuangker | Yes | 12.48K |
| AusBettor | Yes | 8.1K |
| Irritating-Browser | Yes | 7.19K |
| Dimitriusm | Yes | 6.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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