Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 9 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 27.5% on 7 Jan 2025. $34.64M traded over the market's life.
834 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 367 points · 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 14.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chileno901 | Yes | 908.65K |
| bravopueblo | Yes | 798.5K |
| Lanky-Councilor | Yes | 195.27K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro, is removed from power for any length of time between January 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Nicolás Maduro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Venezuela within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| galeno1441 | Yes | 187.41K |
| tetrose | Yes | 124.99K |
| HSL2025 | Yes | 121.43K |
| Productive-Professor | Yes | 120.41K |
| coinfun | Yes | 105.14K |
| y3sw3can | Yes | 102.26K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 84.54K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
