Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 31 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 31 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 19% on 3 Nov 2025. $456.79K traded over the market's life.
96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 31 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 | 50.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster
| asymmetriclonewolf | Yes | 1.25K |
| JVW | Yes | 1.25K |
| Ray777 | Yes | 942 |
| Defensive-Barstool | Yes | 850 |
| Resteban | Yes | 734.05 |
| stackerman | Yes | 680.13 |
| Svitovid | Yes | 666 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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