Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 28 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 189 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 93.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 75 points up, to 93.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $979.01K traded over the market's life.
327 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 189 points, 28 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2025 | 65.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| satoshiAncap | Yes | 23.31K |
| marktangent | Yes | 13.88K |
| rfnoone | Yes | 10.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-in-2025
| GokuThe2nd | Yes | 2.03K |
| Abrdjd | Yes | 1.75K |
| Elibiton | Yes | 1.6K |
| markdubmogulmoves | Yes | 1.51K |
| Arnawi | Yes | 1.4K |
| BsIncredible | Yes | 1.2K |
| Mixed-Lunge | Yes | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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