Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 137.92 | $0.645 | $89 | Mar 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 178.46 |
| $0.650 |
| $116 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 162.57 | $0.104 | $16.91 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 169.57 | $0.537 | $91.06 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 169.58 | $0.590 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes | sell | 107.66 | $0.986 | $106.15 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes | buy | 107.66 | $0.836 | $90 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | sell | 272.08 | $0.230 | $62.58 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 272.09 | $0.735 | $200 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 903.22 | $0.254 | $229.65 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 162.58 | $0.160 | $26 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 903.23 | $0.620 | $560 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No | sell | 744.39 | $0.788 | $586.32 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.22 | $0.370 | $6 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No | buy | 744.39 | $0.658 | $490 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 81.08 | $0.370 | $30 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?No | sell | 64.51 | $0.436 | $28.13 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?Yes | buy | 451.69 | $0.664 | $300 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?No | sell | 362.69 | $0.894 | $324.41 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?Yes | buy | 358.89 | $0.808 | $290 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?No | buy | 227.79 | $0.768 | $175 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?Yes | sell | 406.12 | $0.430 | $174.62 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?Yes | buy | 406.12 | $0.490 | $199 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | sell | 249.63 | $0.797 | $198.97 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.430 | $6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | buy | 235.68 | $0.552 | $130 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?Yes | sell | 153.12 | $0.889 | $136.12 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 20?Positive | buy | 16.75 | $0.597 | $10 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Yes | sell | 32.88 | $0.300 | $9.86 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.395 | $13 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 495.11 | $0.808 | $400 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?Yes | buy | 153.13 | $0.620 | $95 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | buy | 94.64 | $0.560 | $53 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?No | sell | 202.3 | $0.263 | $53.23 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 223.26 | $0.430 | $96 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?No | buy | 202.3 | $0.494 | $100 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?No | buy | 134.91 | $0.719 | $97 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?No | sell | 5.33 | $0.911 | $4.86 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.938 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.063 | $100 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 188.31 | $0.770 | $145 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.450 | $135 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 669.67 | $0.448 | $300 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 199.34 | $0.251 | $50 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.170 | $200 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 129.03 | $0.620 | $80 | Oct 6, 2025 |