
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 20 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 15.3% on 26 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.6 points up, to 8.1% on 24 Dec 2025. $3.49M traded over the market's life.
572 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 13.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HighRoller | Yes | 49.6K |
| qwerty6 | Yes | 37.98K |
| RedRunner | Yes | 30.44K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities. A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity. The following will not qualify: - Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity. - Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein. - Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/epstein-client-list-released-in-2025-372
| gopfan2 | Yes | 25.71K |
| onewhaleplease | Yes | 13.18K |
| ItsAllFake | Yes | 12.52K |
| jeancr | Yes | 12.41K |
| mmmreap | Yes | 11.26K |
| CognitiveDeprivedApe | Yes | 7.5K |
| SA-7 | Yes | 7.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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