Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
hspje89 is down $0.05 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:26 AM UTC.
$1.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 4, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 478.99 | $0.928 | $438.28 | -$6.44 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 55.13 | $0.920 | $50.72 | 2h ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 02:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 06:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 06:26 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-27 07:15 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $176.42 and losing ones cost $125.09 across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $28.55 on “Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?” (No); the largest loss, $52.77 on “Will Trump visit China by April 30?” (Yes).
It first traded on 19 Jan 2026 and most recently on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 905 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.07K across 364 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 103.59 |
| $0.212 |
| $93.75 |
| +$71.75 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? | No | 85.72 | $0.980 | $82.37 | -$1.63 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 62.02 | $0.339 | $57.37 | +$36.37 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 41.27 | $0.969 | $39.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? | No | 25.1 | $0.956 | $24.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 35.32 | $0.651 | $23.49 | +$0.49 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 25.21 | $0.595 | $23.06 | +$8.06 |
 Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? | No | 22.11 | $0.950 | $21.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 21.65 | $0.970 | $20.57 | -$0.43 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 19.91 | $0.854 | $18.61 | +$1.61 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 18.2 | $0.934 | $17.92 | +$0.92 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.38 | $0.920 | $16.79 | +$0.79 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 18.37 | $0.708 | $15.8 | +$2.8 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 15.35 | $0.977 | $15.35 | +$0.35 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.49 | $0.839 | $14.92 | +$1.92 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.29 | $0.850 | $14.84 | +$1.84 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? | No | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? | No | 14.21 | $0.985 | $14.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | No | 14.41 | $0.972 | $13.96 | -$0.04 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13.66 | +$0.66 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 14.61 | $0.890 | $13.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 14.29 | $0.910 | $13.07 | +$0.07 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 16 | $0.812 | $13.04 | +$0.04 |
 Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? | No | 13.16 | $0.988 | $12.79 | -$0.21 |
| buy |
| 7.46 |
| $0.670 |
| $5 |
| 2h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.930 | $60 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.680 | $17 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 358.06 | $0.930 | $333 | 1d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.191 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.899 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.601 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.601 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.601 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | 12d ago |
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | 12d ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.680 | $4 | 12d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.650 | $6 | 12d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.983 | $6 | 20d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | 20d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.987 | $8 | 20d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.969 | $3 | 20d ago |
 EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 20d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.959 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 20d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.