Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 49 points from 56% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
Across the 61 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 14%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 15.5% on 18 Sep 2026.
$8.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.47K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 207 trades, $412.56 bought Yes and $2.18K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 346 shares; the largest No position is Relaccsed with 448. Ten wallets hold 76.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 56.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Relaccsed | No | 448.2 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 346.34 |
| 42021 | Yes | 300 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 244.04 |
| baybug | No | 164.75 |
| Porx | No | 160 |
| Crimson Raven D375 | No | 150.54 |
| ManipulationOfRisk | No | 132.58 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 118.46 |
| Babymunk | No | 116.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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