Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.27K | $0.500 | $962.24 | +$326.26 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | 12m ago |
|
| No |
| 680 |
| $0.905 |
| $639.2 |
| +$24 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 508.44 | $0.914 | $490.65 | +$25.64 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.500 | $309.72 | -$326.26 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.837 | $262.5 | +$11.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 479.98 | $0.634 | $215.99 | -$88.49 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 399.98 | $0.505 | $213.99 | +$12 |
 Another Iranian diplomat expelled by September 30, 2026? | No | 200.88 | $0.796 | $169.74 | +$9.81 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 127.55 | $0.594 | $120.6 | +$44.82 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 400.1 | $0.300 | $110.03 | -$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.650 | $105 | -$25 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | Yes | 223.99 | $0.295 | $103.04 | +$36.84 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $99.4 | +$9.4 |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? | No | 330 | $0.300 | $87.45 | -$11.55 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 191.99 | $0.520 | $82.27 | -$17.53 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.090 | $65 | -$25 |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 419.78 | $0.135 | $50.58 | -$6.24 |
 Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.740 | $35.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.366 | $32.6 | -$409.64 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 32.9 | $0.760 | $31.81 | +$6.81 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 598 | $0.035 | $30.8 | +$9.89 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.295 | $29 | -$30 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 85.78 | $0.268 | $22.3 | -$0.66 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.240 | $20.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? | No | 20 | $0.980 | $19.97 | +$0.37 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.550 |
| $27.5 |
| 34m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 175.62 | $0.572 | $100.49 | 1h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?Yes | sell | 569.99 | $0.003 | $1.43 | 4h ago |
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200.88 | $0.796 | $159.93 | 7h ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 419.78 | $0.135 | $56.82 | 7h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.123 | $49.32 | 17h ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.548 | $27.4 | 20h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.140 | $13.3 | 21h ago |
 Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 300 | $0.660 | $198 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 351.24 | $0.650 | $228.31 | 1d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | buy | 140.99 | $0.691 | $97.49 | 1d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 71.79 | $0.850 | $61.02 | 1d ago |
 Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 132.03 | $0.305 | $40.33 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 72.5 | $0.740 | $53.65 | 2d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 269.31 | $0.114 | $30.61 | 2d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 198 | $0.679 | $134.47 | 2d ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 488.64 | $0.170 | $83.07 | 2d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Yes | buy | 223.99 | $0.296 | $66.2 | 3d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 164.02 | $0.087 | $14.23 | 3d ago |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 65.68 | $0.142 | $9.32 | 3d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 280.07 | $0.614 | $172 | 3d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 252.07 | $0.694 | $175.03 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 72.49 | $0.720 | $52.19 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 3d ago |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | buy | 21.91 | $0.990 | $21.69 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 512.9 | $0.170 | $87.19 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 125.98 | $0.750 | $94.49 | 4d ago |
 Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 684.12 | $0.050 | $34.47 | 4d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 4d ago |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 435.72 | $0.040 | $17.6 | 4d ago |
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.770 | $53.9 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 150 | $0.440 | $66 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.890 | $58.74 | 5d ago |
 Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.990 | $257.4 | 6d ago |
| Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | 6d ago |
| Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 193.59 | $0.978 | $189.31 | 6d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 544.4 | $0.850 | $462.74 | 6d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes | sell | 456.25 | $0.120 | $54.75 | 6d ago |
| Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.430 | $2.2 | 6d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.009 | $11.67 | 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | sell | 2.86K | $0.005 | $14.32 | 6d ago |
 Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 181.17 | $0.810 | $146.75 | 7d ago |
| Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.31 | $0.996 | $207.48 | 7d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 8d ago |