Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 10 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 117 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 5 Aug 2026 and the lowest 14% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19.5%; a month before, 19%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 62% on 6 Aug 2026.
$117.65 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.51K since listing. The order book holds $11.41K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 237 trades, $1.46K bought Yes and $4.36K bought No; the largest was a $1.67K buy of No at 81.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Gohst with 2K shares; the largest No position is Valen9 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 86.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 25.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Valen9 | No | 2.06K |
| Gohst | Yes | 2K |
| LaPulgaAtomica | Yes | 1.38K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gustavo-petro-be-charged-in-the-us-by-april-30
| Bperil |
| No |
| 1.15K |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No | 520.23 |
| d4ndr3z | Yes | 388 |
| crypto-basenji | No | 301.65 |
| spencer-dev20-a255c | Yes | 262.68 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | No | 242.81 |
| Zurdolopez | Yes | 181.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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