Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 23 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 16 Oct 2026, the highest close was 40% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 40% on 25 Sep 2026. $2.04K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 3:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 34.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Viserys | Yes | 116.06 |
| S888 | Yes | 78 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-20260918
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 20 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 12.61 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 10 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 9.99 |
| rubby1337 | Yes | 2.5 |
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