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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | buy | 83.3 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?No | buy | 59.96 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Yes | buy | 636.67 | $0.006 | $3.82 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.032 | $4 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Dilan Yeşilgöz out as VVD leader before Netherlands election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate three times before election?Yes | buy | 73.69 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?Yes | buy | 70.56 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 US civil war in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump jail Elon Musk?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 59.23 | $0.017 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?Yes | buy | 187.1 | $0.011 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?No | buy | 204.55 | $0.044 | $9 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 331.23 | $0.021 | $7 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?Yes | buy | 121.2 | $0.050 | $6.06 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?No | buy | 500.6 | $0.050 | $25.03 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?No | buy | 136.4 | $0.050 | $6.82 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?No | buy | 383.43 | $0.035 | $13.42 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?No | buy | 368.4 | $0.025 | $9.21 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?No | buy | 581.6 | $0.025 | $14.54 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.860 | $19.54 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March?Yes | buy | 36.43 | $0.140 | $5.1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.83 | $0.120 | $1.9 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?Yes | buy | 60.3 | $0.083 | $5 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 30, 2025 |