
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 24% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 24% on 30 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 1 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 18% on 31 Jan 2025. $17.98K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 3:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 24.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RT10 | Yes | 333.33 |
| Insanoflex | Yes | 83.33 |
| Inorite | Yes | 66.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) recently announced it would launch Truth.Fi, a financial services platform with plans to buy cryptocurrencies and other, more traditional assets. You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/ee0edda4-fca6-4c1e-bc66-d21ec7302690 This market will resolve to "Yes" if TMTG buys any amount of Bitcoin, either directly or through a subsidiary, between January 28, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-media-invest-in-bitcoin-before-march
| Yes |
| 55.56 |
| roaringkitten | Yes | 33.33 |
| YoungFatWalletUwU | Yes | 15.38 |
| laurenmccarthy | Yes | 14.99 |
| jose07 | Yes | 10 |
| katherineklein | Yes | 10 |
| melaniechase | Yes | 10 |
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