Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 185 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 8 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Dec 2025. $140.18K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 185 points, 2 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | 3.3% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Elon Musk from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-deport-elon-musk-in-2025
| CRUNCHSV6 | Yes | 908.81 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 543 |
| Anjun | Yes | 524.74 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 421 |
| bruzze | Yes | 217.39 |
| vibecoding | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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