Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 28% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 2 Feb 2025, the highest close was 100% on 2 Feb 2025 and the lowest 18% on 23 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 65% on 31 Jan 2025. $922.75K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 3, 11:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 2 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 28.0% |
| 2 Feb 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fiscalinator | No | 2.28K |
| lebronjack | No | 2.12K |
| TheSleepingPoet | No | 1.84K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 25% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from Mexico and Canada by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from Mexico and Canada is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-imposes-25-tariff-on-canada-and-mexico-before-march
| No |
| 1K |
| Jerzy | No | 500 |
| Warcher | No | 500 |
| PolyDump | No | 400 |
| Michael4748 | No | 271.83 |
| Boring-Glow | No | 242.96 |
| VIF | No | 175.86 |
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