Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 7.53K | $0.930 | $7.4K | +$395.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 220 | $0.965 | $212.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 6.5K |
| $0.888 |
| $6.01K |
| +$237.52 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 6K | $0.907 | $5.61K | +$170 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.48K | $0.400 | $1.27K | +$675.8 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.790 | $945 | +$155 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 805.44 | $0.743 | $728.92 | +$130.36 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 8.14K | $0.193 | $610.15 | -$958.44 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 8.71K | $0.288 | $435.58 | -$2.08K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 422 | $0.280 | $359.12 | +$240.85 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 389.92 | $0.794 | $329.49 | +$19.73 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 499.92 | $0.181 | $37.49 | -$52.91 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 146 |
| $0.965 |
| $140.89 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 245 | $0.902 | $220.92 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.790 | $1.26K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 4.38K | $0.913 | $4K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 6.35K | $0.945 | $6K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.780 | $468 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.968 | $968 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.974 | $1.95K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 2.07K | $0.968 | $2K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 99.67 | $0.910 | $90.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 7.53K | $0.930 | $7K | Jul 2, 2026 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Yes | sell | 686.48 | $0.004 | $2.82 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.1K | $0.967 | $3K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.954 | $1.1K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.985 | $1K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.730 | $1.1K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 215.19 | $0.790 | $170 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 409.35 | $0.977 | $400 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | buy | 2.56K | $0.978 | $2.5K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 510.51 | $0.979 | $500 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.07K | $0.987 | $5K | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.53 | $0.150 | $14.93 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.970 | $1.8K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 200 | $0.049 | $9.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.968 | $193.69 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 230 | $0.056 | $12.82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.970 | $223.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 300 | $0.165 | $49.63 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 138.14 | $0.362 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 514.89 | $0.388 | $200 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 110 | $0.330 | $36.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 581.28 | $0.688 | $400 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.552 | $71.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.550 | $122.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 478.93 | $0.209 | $100 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.101 | $101.35 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 2.63K | $0.952 | $2.5K | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.983 | $3K | Jun 5, 2026 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | sell | 703 | $0.043 | $30.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No | buy | 164.02 | $0.973 | $159.59 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.978 | $1K | May 31, 2026 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.042 | $42.44 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.503 | $704.69 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 31.88 | $0.520 | $16.58 | May 27, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.960 | $1K | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 600 | $0.371 | $222.49 | May 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 32.7 | $0.935 | $30.57 | May 22, 2026 |