Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.3% on 22 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2025 to 26 Apr 2025, the highest close was 5.3% on 22 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Apr 2025. $53.68K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 22 Apr 2025 – 26 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2025 | 5.3% |
| 26 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Valid-Caption | Yes | 692 |
| bepis | Yes | 447.7 |
| Flowery-Balance | Yes | 430.73 |
| Inorite | Yes | 121.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between April 21 and April 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-friday
New to prediction markets?
| flush-085 | Yes | 65.13 |
| pengumq | Yes | 47.62 |
| GCB2024 | Yes | 11 |
| Karekken | No | 0.02 |
| johnnyA | No | 0.02 |
| split | No | 0.02 |
