Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 681.82 | $0.220 | $150 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 66.66 |
| $0.900 |
| $59.99 |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 763.86 | $0.059 | $45 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 162 | $0.830 | $134.46 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?Yes | buy | 692 | $0.058 | $40 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.340 | $500 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 888.89 | $0.450 | $400 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.498 | $886.09 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 581.43 | $0.017 | $10 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.075 | $100 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 671.44 | $0.685 | $459.87 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 126.67 | $0.118 | $15 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.025 | $20 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will the US sanction Russia before May?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.728 | $99.74 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will the US sanction Russia before May?Yes | buy | 137.04 | $0.270 | $37 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?Yes | buy | 633.17 | $0.032 | $20 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?No | sell | 97.12 | $0.982 | $95.33 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 485.38 | $0.041 | $20 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 789.47 | $0.380 | $300 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 171.38 | $0.117 | $20 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?No | sell | 97.11 | $0.901 | $87.53 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt be out as White House Press Secretary in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 309.62 | $0.065 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?Yes | buy | 286.32 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.014 | $15.9 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.890 | $40.45 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.060 | $68.8 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 501.67 | $0.060 | $30.1 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | sell | 194.19 | $0.470 | $91.27 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?No | buy | 44.06 | $0.520 | $22.9 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Australian Open Final (M): Sinner vs. ZverevZverev | buy | 176.24 | $0.255 | $45 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 326.11 | $0.347 | $113.2 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Australian Open Final (W): Sabalenka vs. KeysSabalenka | buy | 1.5K | $0.010 | $15 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Australian Open Final (W): Sabalenka vs. KeysSabalenka | buy | 96.15 | $0.260 | $25 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Australian Open Final (W): Sabalenka vs. KeysKeys | buy | 38 | $0.395 | $15 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Australian Open Final (W): Sabalenka vs. KeysKeys | buy | 37.5 | $0.400 | $15 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Australian Open Final (M): Sinner vs. ZverevZverev | buy | 95.71 | $0.280 | $26.8 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 326.28 | $0.394 | $128.4 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 336.55 | $0.324 | $109.1 | Jan 25, 2025 |