Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.670 | $8.74 | Nov 10, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 24 |
| $0.460 |
| $11.04 |
| Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 7.73 | $0.059 | $0.46 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.099 | $1.09 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 7.73 | $0.388 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.070 | $0.53 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 18.22 | $0.770 | $14.03 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 23.55 | $0.738 | $17.38 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will Obama say "Hope" at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 7.96 | $0.720 | $5.73 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Maduro out before September?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden say "Sick" during drop out speech?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.101 | $1 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.046 | $2 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Miami?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jul 1, 2024 |
| Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 1, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.500 | $1.28 | Jun 29, 2024 |
 Will Netherlands win Group D?Yes | buy | 54.85 | $0.010 | $0.55 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Netherlands win Group D?Yes | buy | 4.33 | $0.300 | $1.3 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.982 | $1.46 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.941 | $0.38 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza before September?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.760 | $1.99 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Biden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Netherlands win Group D?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.720 | $2.68 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Dementia" during the debate?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 25, 2024 |
 Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?No | buy | 36.24 | $0.370 | $13.41 | Nov 20, 2023 |
 Trump and Biden both win nomination?Yes | sell | 19.73 | $0.680 | $13.42 | Nov 20, 2023 |
 Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.760 | $11.44 | Nov 18, 2023 |
 Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.520 | $0.67 | Oct 18, 2023 |
 Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 10.77 | $0.820 | $8.83 | Oct 12, 2023 |
| [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.720 | $8.83 | Oct 12, 2023 |