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Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 44% on 1 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 45% on 4 Jun 2024 and the low 0.4% on 31 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 22.1% on 29 Jul 2024. $55.82K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 8:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 1 Jun 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2024 | 44.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has ceased all ground operations within and has withdrawn all ground forces from Gaza between May 30 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn into or behind intended buffer zones, even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-gaza-before-september
New to prediction markets?
| dydx0202 | Yes | 5 |
| edd1 | Yes | 2.7 |
| powerofnow | Yes | 0.1 |
| justmyself | Yes | 0.07 |
| lj67b2bv4l41 | No | 0.07 |
| GJGHUGDH | Yes | 0.03 |