Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 307 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 50% on 5 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36.5% on 6 Jan 2024. $72.18M traded over the market's life.
548 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 7:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 307 points, 5 Jan 2024 – 6 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 196.97M |
| qrpenc | Yes | 25.24M |
| Swift Comet 5107 | Yes | 15.26M |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the 2024 presidential election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024
| XAE12Archangel | Yes | 10.54M |
| 3t17 | Yes | 10.18M |
| Emerald Beacon F675 | Yes | 10.17M |
| 840lft | Yes | 5.92M |
| Babouspain | Yes | 2.25M |
| Indigo Ledger C396 | Yes | 1.99M |
| Belgiumstorm777 | Yes | 1.62M |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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