Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 6 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 72.5% on 3 Aug 2024 and the low 5% on 9 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 70.5% on 1 Aug 2024. $16.51M traded over the market's life.
256 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 11:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 6 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2024 | 6.5% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.38M |
| d41d8cd98 | Yes | 63.88K |
| wanyewest69 | Yes | 27.5K |
| TheDon | Yes | 20.37K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-vp-nominee
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ZaphodBeeblebrox | Yes | 20.29K |
| 3.3.3 | Yes | 20K |
| Scamala | Yes | 19.62K |
| 0bets | Yes | 17.2K |
| Lechaki | Yes | 16.69K |
| bouncyonion44 | Yes | 16.3K |
