Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 844.53 | $0.052 | $43.92 | Mar 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 22.34K |
| $0.200 |
| $4.47K |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.75K | $0.210 | $6.88K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 42.24K | $0.200 | $8.45K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 74.56K | $0.180 | $13.42K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 25.16K | $0.190 | $4.78K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 37.51K | $0.190 | $7.13K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 43.85K | $0.130 | $5.7K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.92K | $0.120 | $7.55K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.68K | $0.110 | $2.71K | Mar 16, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.03K | $0.119 | $1.43K | Mar 13, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.088 | $103.57 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.014 | $30.43 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?Yes | buy | 221.5 | $0.070 | $15.51 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 7.06K | $0.999 | $7.05K | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 9.19K | $0.999 | $9.18K | Mar 8, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.76K | $0.257 | $963.78 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 5.74K | $0.668 | $3.84K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.672 | $2.32K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 6.71K | $0.789 | $5.29K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 81.98 | $0.786 | $64.44 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 191.95 | $0.300 | $57.53 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.315 | $2.84 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.51K | $0.355 | $1.25K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | sell | 1.87K | $0.997 | $1.86K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 127.5K | $0.998 | $127.24K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.070 | $130.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.32K | $0.029 | $560.24 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 525.93 | $0.021 | $11.04 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.024 | $43.64 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12K | $0.001 | $12 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.006 | $0.72 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.008 | $200 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.008 | $36.84 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 707.83 | $0.008 | $5.66 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.8K | $0.007 | $553.59 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.61K | $0.011 | $50.72 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.033 | $1.65 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 755.89 | $0.035 | $26.46 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 3.89K | $0.029 | $112.45 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.37K | $0.013 | $110.17 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.39K | $0.008 | $51.14 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | sell | 9.21K | $0.990 | $9.12K | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 4.29K | $0.950 | $4.08K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.69K | $0.022 | $147.12 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.54K | $0.019 | $142.66 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 43.42K | $0.003 | $130.3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 737.28 | $0.070 | $51.61 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 3.94K | $0.127 | $500 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.2K | $0.920 | $2.03K | Jan 30, 2026 |