Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 87% on 8 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2023 to 3 Nov 2023, the highest close was 100% on 3 Nov 2023 and the lowest 73.5% on 10 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 82.5% on 11 Oct 2023. $685.03K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 8 Oct 2023 – 3 Nov 2023, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2023 | 87.0% |
| 3 Nov 2023 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Vector AE02 | No | 500K |
| Kindly let us know | No | 3.19K |
| domwastaken | No | 1.24K |
| 0xBitsplit | No | 238.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is still recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip by Oct 31, 2023. "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip. If at any time prior to the expiry date, Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority, the market will resolve to "No". In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with the majority of control will be considered the primary governing authority. This market will resolve according to credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hamas-still-in-power-in-gaza-by-oct-31
New to prediction markets?
| sugar0poulos | No | 63.63 |
| Uninvited | No | 45.64 |
| Locklove | No | 29.41 |
| mckinsey_betzz | No | 22.73 |
| ttrofel | No | 10.53 |
