Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 9 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2024 to 27 Dec 2024, the highest close was 97.5% on 22 Dec 2024 and the lowest 32.5% on 9 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 85% on 13 Nov 2024. $1.18M traded over the market's life.
258 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 12:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 9 Nov 2024 – 27 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2024 | 32.5% |
| 27 Dec 2024 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 20th Bundestag, which is the sitting parliament of Germany, is dissolved between November 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundestag-dissolved-in-2024
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| No |
| 5.63K |
| Donald4328423048 | No | 5.33K |
| jer.tzf | No | 4.52K |
| thenewland | No | 4.38K |
| Reshix | No | 4.04K |
| picklejeff | No | 3.69K |
| Rotari | No | 3.69K |
