Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.7M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 3.8% on 29 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 22.3% on 5 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 22.3% on 5 Jul 2024. $11.66M traded over the market's life.

330 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 29 Jun 2024 – 1 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–30%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
politik	Yes	151.35K
analord	Yes	80.89K
0xdb	Yes	75.4K
ottr	Yes	52.27K

10 of 330 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-resign-by-july-31

Dates

Event starts

Jun 28, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Aug 1, 2024 UTC