Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 46% on 10 Oct 2023. Before it settled, the high was 98% on 26 Nov 2023 and the low 18.5% on 2 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 79.5% on 20 Nov 2023. $162.83K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 10 Oct 2023 – 26 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2023 | 46.0% |
| 26 Nov 2023 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cheddar | No | 297.25 |
| Likely-Plum | No | 239.55 |
| KevinWan | No | 89.35 |
| l33sh00 | No | 12.66 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas on or before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 48 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on December 30, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48 hours.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-and-hamas-ceasefire-in-2023
| abra0 | No | 8.7 |
| Yogithanos | No | 1.27 |
| tyson223344 | No | 1.22 |
| theComebaqKid | No | 0.01 |
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