Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 6, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.6M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 6, 2024 UTC

Topic room2028 US Election

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 22 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 99.3% on 5 Aug 2024 and the lowest 81.5% on 22 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 87.5% on 23 Jul 2024. $1.57M traded over the market's life.

143 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 7:52 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 22 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024, chart shows 75%–100%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	439.04K
MrTruth	No	38.45K
Remote-Armor	No	35.31K

10 of 143 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.